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NBA Top 50: Andrew Bynum (No. 40)

OtB is counting down the days 'til the NBA 2009-10 season tips off by ranking the top 50 players in the league. On Thursday there are 40 days left.

In 2005, Andrew Bynum became the youngest player ever to play in an NBA game, and with the age limit raised after that, he could retain that record for quite some time. Bynum's had a decent start in the league, definitely showing some flashes. Still, he just seems to be in the wrong place at the wrong time. Perhaps it's an argument for him having come out a bit too early. I won't say that. I'll just document the first in a line of difficult or questionable incidents that have included injuring both knees, carrying around a Playboy playmate on his shoulders while rehabbing one of said knees, and, y'know, getting dissed by the Kobster in a parking lot vid.

All of this was presaged by a dunk on Shaq. Well, no, let’s start at the beginning. It all began with a Shaq dunk on Drew. Despite being the youngest rookie ever, Bynum wasn’t having any of that. He came back on O, got the ball, spun Shaq out of his shorts, and bam! made it rain. It was a great play, and Bynumite has made a whole slew of great plays. But rook, don’t bang one down on The Sheriff. Wait a few years. Sure I loved the pluck, the idea that Bynum was attempting an Iversonian slap in the face to the old guard, but it was too little too soon. Since then, he hasn’t been able to catch a wave of consistency.


The Skinny: With AB, you can’t look at season averages or totals, because his stats have been decimated by injury and the lack of confidence evident as the hang over from said injuries. The first thing to do is look at individual games. Bynum was having perhaps his best run right before he went down. After a relatively quiet first 40 games of the season, AB went off on the Clips for 42 points, 15 rebounds, and 3 blocks. He followed that up with: 23, 14, and 1 against Washington; 15, 11, and 4 against the Spurs; 24, 14, and 6 against Charlotte; and 27, 15, and 2 in Minnesota. Sure, the competition wasn’t great, and he seemed to come back to earth a bit against Duncan and the Spurs, but how would you fare at just 21 years and 90 days old against the Big Fundamental? That’s what I thought. And he still managed to go for a double-double and four blocks.

What makes a good big man? Points, rebounds, and blocks. The points are there. At least on that stacked team, with all the attention drawn elsewhere, Bynum seems to inhale points. In fact, watching him peak, he seemed at times to be an even more dominant scorer than Kobe. I definitely saw a bunch of games where Kobe took a back seat and said, “let’s let the kid roll.” The per game averages, of course, don’t tell the tale. However, in 07-08 when he looked like he was going to destroy everything out there, Bynum was running a field goal percentage of .636. Andris Biedrins, who led the league that year (Bynum didn’t qualify, not having played enough games), shot a .626. Bynum also recorded a 127 offensive rating, which is neck and neck with Biedrins who led the league in that category as well.


andrew_bynum_mip_1, originally uploaded by mplsboywonder.
Okay, what about rebounds and blocks? In 07-08, Bynum was rebounding to the tune of 19.6% of the available caroms while he was on the court. Shaq, on the other hand, the guy who Drew effectively replaced (let’s all try to forget about Kwame “Meow-meow” Brown, please), only grabbed that kind of percentage in his rookie season and never again crested 19%. Now, Shaq is a bit of an anomaly, because most players don’t peak in terms of rebounding efficacy in their rookie season. Regardless, 19.6% is a damn good rate, and would’ve been good for fourth in the league, tying with Tim Duncan. Why do we refer to the 07-08 season repeatedly and not this past season when he played 15 more games? Quite simply because his ceiling lies in that 07-08 glimpse. Since he got injured that season, he’s continually been playing himself toward dominance, and peaking at all the wrong times. Those 35 games are the single best indicator as to what Andrew Bynum’s potential could lead. The hope is that the injuries haven’t depleted his confidence and aggression. He was a ghost in the playoffs, but the Lakers were rolling without him. With a full off season under his twice rehabbed knee, hopefully we’ll see the Bynum of “old.”

If you continue the comparison to Shaq, Bynum outlasts young Shaq at being a dominant blocker. Sure, Shaq can send ‘em out with the best of ‘em. But his attention flags. His rookie season he blocked a solid 5.7% of the two points shots his opponents took while he was on the floor, and then he didn’t get over 5% until four seasons later. Bynum’s first three seasons saw him consistently over 5%, and his only season under 5% was last season, when he looked wary about letting loose for much of the season. Now 5% is not quite crazy town numbers, like early Dikembe Mutumbo or Marcus Camby, who both hit upwards of 7% before their fourth season. However, Bynum's numbers do put him in the early Alonzo Mourning range. Not bad.


Andrew Bynum, originally uploaded by ngoyes22.
Why he’s #40: I actually had Bynum at 36th before the beginning of last season. One might level the same argument against Bynum that can be made for Al Jefferson in the lower half of this list. You just can’t tell how he’ll come back from all these knee injuries, or what he’ll be like with Artest in town. Why, though, is Bynum a couple spots ahead of Jefferson? For one, I’d like to remind you that the separation between each spot is not that great, and anyone could argue any of these selections are incorrect. (They’d be wrong, but whatever.) Still, Bynum pushes past Jefferson despite less of a track record for steady production because Bynum exudes the kind of fire and joie de vivre that Jefferson sometimes seems to lack.

When Andrew was on, guys had to make sure their heads didn’t get torn off. That’s something you just can’t teach. There’s a reason there was all that talk (that didn’t come to fruition) about the Lakers being tougher with Bynum in the rotation in ’09 compared to their embarrassment at the hands of the Celts in ’08. Even a killer instinct like Kobe’s does not equate to the kind of nasty streak that Bynum is capable of. You build quality defenses on intimidation of that order. Bynum has shown the potential to be one of the great defensive anchors in the history of the league. Recognize.

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